composing precise predictions assembling critical understanding crowdsourcing quantitative insights delivering precise contingencies assembling calibrated understanding assembling probable wisdom delivering quantitative wisdom mapping calibrated futures exploring definitive predictions computing critical wisdom mapping the future generating predictive futures delivering probable futures forecasting definitive contingencies predicting probable wisdom aggregating predictive understanding modeling critical understanding forecasting intelligent forecasts crowdsourcing calibrated contingencies generating contingent predictions predicting probable understanding predicting definitive wisdom calculating accurate insights exploring intelligent understanding calculating accurate wisdom aggregating contingent estimations mapping intelligent understanding mapping definitive insights

Profile

username James
formerly known as
member since February 17, 2016
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Forecaster Stats

level 8 (Forecaster) on Metaculus: Pandemics
24 (AIXI.1.4) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 328 predictions on 121 questions (96 resolved)
comments 8 comments on 4 questions
rank 31st
achievements