composing definitive predictions calculating definitive predictions delivering calibrated contingencies computing definitive understanding assembling contingent insights mapping the future predicting intelligent estimations aggregating predictive futures exploring calibrated forecasts predicting predictive insights calculating predictive contingencies delivering definitive estimations calculating precise understanding crowdsourcing probable contingencies

Profile

username PeterHurford
formerly known as
member since April 2, 2016
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 2 (Guesser) on Metaculus: Pandemics
3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 28 predictions on 10 questions (6 resolved)
comments 11 comments on 9 questions
rank 140th
authorship 4 active questions
achievements