crowdsourcing accurate futures mapping predictive insights mapping probable estimations composing calibrated futures delivering probable understanding mapping the future exploring probable forecasts composing quantitative contingencies mapping contingent estimations calculating contingent contingencies predicting intelligent understanding aggregating probable contingencies mapping probable contingencies predicting predictive predictions


username PabloStafforini
formerly known as
member since July 14, 2016
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 11 (Seer) on Metaculus: Pandemics
14 (Time Traveler) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 1894 predictions on 330 questions (130 resolved)
comments 207 comments on 90 questions
rank 1st
authorship 2 active questions