aggregating quantitative estimations assembling critical understanding delivering intelligent forecasts delivering intelligent wisdom aggregating predictive estimations assembling definitive futures exploring intelligent insights assembling predictive insights composing probable insights modeling critical wisdom mapping the future generating intelligent futures delivering definitive forecasts formulating contingent understanding delivering precise futures generating critical futures formulating quantitative futures delivering calibrated insights delivering quantitative understanding calculating definitive wisdom modeling precise understanding calculating critical contingencies composing definitive estimations modeling critical contingencies forecasting critical forecasts mapping critical insights computing calibrated insights crowdsourcing calibrated estimations

Profile

username Pablo
formerly known as
member since July 14, 2016
bio
website {{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

required field
usernames don't match
{{err}}

Stats

level 15 (Time Lord) on Metaculus: Pandemics
22 (AIXI.1.2) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 3010 predictions on 382 questions (225 resolved)
comments 262 comments on 108 questions
rank 1st
authorship 2 active questions
achievements