assembling quantitative contingencies forecasting predictive futures aggregating probable insights crowdsourcing accurate predictions generating calibrated estimations mapping the future exploring precise insights assembling contingent futures forecasting quantitative wisdom modeling contingent wisdom formulating contingent futures computing contingent wisdom exploring accurate insights exploring accurate predictions

Profile

username Random5
formerly known as
member since September 16, 2016
bio
website {{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

required field
usernames don't match
{{err}}

Stats

level 4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus: Pandemics
11 (Seer) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 112 predictions on 47 questions (34 resolved)
rank 69th
achievements