crowdsourcing quantitative wisdom delivering precise estimations modeling contingent wisdom modeling predictive insights mapping intelligent predictions mapping the future forecasting critical understanding composing accurate contingencies modeling quantitative estimations formulating quantitative contingencies aggregating accurate understanding exploring intelligent predictions predicting intelligent contingencies aggregating predictive estimations

Profile

username wurtis
formerly known as
member since November 25, 2016
bio
website {{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

required field
usernames don't match
{{err}}

Stats

level 3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus: Pandemics
5 (Augur) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 58 predictions on 31 questions (14 resolved)
rank 116th
achievements