formulating definitive predictions delivering quantitative understanding calculating contingent estimations generating probable predictions composing calibrated understanding mapping the future modeling definitive contingencies forecasting calibrated futures generating quantitative contingencies generating contingent insights exploring critical understanding mapping calibrated futures modeling accurate forecasts formulating probable predictions


username Reprisal
formerly known as
member since September 23, 2017
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 6 (Gambler) on Metaculus: Pandemics
16 (Time Lord) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 406 predictions on 170 questions (81 resolved)
comments 39 comments on 13 questions
rank 35th