forecasting probable contingencies predicting intelligent contingencies composing predictive contingencies delivering quantitative estimations generating precise futures mapping the future delivering definitive understanding generating precise futures crowdsourcing intelligent predictions assembling intelligent insights forecasting contingent predictions calculating quantitative wisdom exploring quantitative predictions aggregating critical insights

Profile

username cpt
formerly known as
member since September 27, 2017
bio
website {{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

required field
usernames don't match
{{err}}

Stats

level 2 (Guesser) on Metaculus: Pandemics
9 (Predictor) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 39 predictions on 32 questions (17 resolved)
rank 231st
achievements