calculating critical forecasts crowdsourcing quantitative forecasts assembling definitive understanding assembling predictive futures forecasting calibrated estimations mapping the future computing probable contingencies calculating contingent understanding generating quantitative contingencies predicting quantitative wisdom aggregating quantitative understanding predicting probable forecasts exploring critical understanding mapping accurate futures


username misha
formerly known as
member since November 4, 2017
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus: Pandemics
4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 149 predictions on 49 questions (34 resolved)
comments 8 comments on 3 questions
rank 84th