generating precise wisdom predicting precise predictions modeling precise contingencies exploring precise futures modeling probable futures forecasting definitive futures forecasting probable insights crowdsourcing intelligent forecasts aggregating critical insights delivering contingent forecasts mapping the future assembling precise estimations predicting probable insights aggregating intelligent futures mapping accurate futures exploring quantitative predictions generating precise contingencies calculating precise insights aggregating calibrated estimations calculating predictive insights delivering probable estimations aggregating predictive wisdom predicting contingent futures assembling contingent futures crowdsourcing predictive insights composing quantitative wisdom computing contingent wisdom delivering definitive predictions

Profile

username Zweihander
formerly known as
member since September 12, 2018
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Forecaster Stats

level 10 (Superpredictor) on Metaculus: Pandemics
18 (Time Lord) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 735 predictions on 342 questions (198 resolved)
rank 24th
achievements