crowdsourcing contingent contingencies mapping contingent contingencies formulating predictive understanding formulating quantitative wisdom mapping definitive predictions mapping the future mapping critical estimations predicting calibrated wisdom assembling precise predictions forecasting predictive insights mapping contingent futures forecasting predictive estimations delivering accurate futures modeling accurate estimations

Profile

username erstwhile
formerly known as
member since January 12, 2019
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus: Pandemics
3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 60 predictions on 27 questions (7 resolved)
comments 3 comments on 2 questions
rank 103rd
achievements