delivering calibrated contingencies calculating precise insights composing accurate predictions aggregating critical predictions mapping critical insights mapping quantitative understanding generating predictive understanding composing quantitative contingencies crowdsourcing accurate wisdom assembling critical contingencies mapping the future generating predictive futures predicting precise understanding forecasting critical forecasts crowdsourcing calibrated contingencies calculating accurate futures modeling critical contingencies crowdsourcing accurate estimations generating definitive estimations formulating contingent forecasts predicting quantitative futures delivering predictive predictions mapping accurate insights formulating probable wisdom modeling intelligent insights forecasting precise wisdom forecasting precise estimations calculating calibrated understanding

Profile

username underyx
formerly known as
member since September 22, 2019
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Forecaster Stats

level 9 (Predictor) on Metaculus: Pandemics
11 (Seer) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 620 predictions on 92 questions (78 resolved)
comments 36 comments on 15 questions
rank 28th
achievements

Author Stats

Forecasts 75 forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories