predicting calibrated contingencies forecasting accurate predictions computing predictive futures assembling critical insights exploring contingent wisdom predicting definitive contingencies formulating intelligent understanding formulating intelligent contingencies forecasting contingent contingencies calculating precise futures mapping the future predicting predictive contingencies assembling probable insights modeling definitive estimations mapping contingent predictions predicting predictive contingencies calculating critical understanding modeling calibrated forecasts mapping predictive understanding aggregating intelligent forecasts exploring quantitative wisdom crowdsourcing probable estimations delivering accurate understanding predicting critical insights composing contingent understanding delivering accurate estimations composing accurate forecasts forecasting predictive forecasts


username HStencil
formerly known as
member since March 2, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Forecaster Stats

level 4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus: Pandemics
5 (Augur) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 69 predictions on 44 questions (26 resolved)
rank 154th