assembling probable estimations mapping predictive estimations predicting contingent estimations forecasting critical futures computing predictive wisdom mapping the future crowdsourcing intelligent estimations mapping definitive contingencies predicting quantitative estimations formulating probable predictions forecasting accurate futures computing accurate contingencies aggregating critical predictions assembling contingent estimations


username HStencil
formerly known as
member since March 2, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus: Pandemics
3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 64 predictions on 42 questions (15 resolved)
rank 92nd