formulating quantitative forecasts composing quantitative futures formulating critical understanding aggregating definitive insights delivering definitive understanding mapping the future formulating contingent contingencies mapping accurate futures modeling calibrated forecasts assembling calibrated estimations formulating probable predictions aggregating precise contingencies composing calibrated futures computing accurate wisdom


username Mark_Xu
formerly known as
member since March 2, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus: Pandemics
4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 49 predictions on 24 questions (13 resolved)
comments 7 comments on 3 questions
rank 141st