crowdsourcing probable estimations generating critical predictions formulating calibrated estimations delivering definitive wisdom calculating predictive insights mapping the future composing contingent forecasts mapping accurate contingencies aggregating calibrated predictions exploring predictive contingencies predicting calibrated wisdom formulating calibrated forecasts aggregating quantitative understanding mapping intelligent contingencies


username CrackpotRung
formerly known as
member since March 9, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 2 (Guesser) on Metaculus: Pandemics
2 (Guesser) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 80 predictions on 18 questions (7 resolved)
comments 3 comments on 3 questions
rank 138th