composing quantitative contingencies forecasting precise insights computing probable insights formulating critical understanding predicting precise forecasts mapping the future modeling quantitative estimations calculating calibrated understanding formulating definitive estimations computing critical understanding mapping predictive wisdom predicting calibrated estimations exploring precise understanding predicting predictive wisdom


username Arcturus
formerly known as
member since March 20, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus: Pandemics
4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 44 predictions on 38 questions (12 resolved)
rank 101st