calculating critical futures computing quantitative contingencies formulating probable contingencies aggregating calibrated predictions crowdsourcing critical predictions mapping the future crowdsourcing calibrated forecasts calculating probable estimations crowdsourcing contingent understanding modeling contingent insights exploring contingent futures delivering quantitative wisdom assembling predictive insights modeling precise wisdom

Profile

username adam_bricknell
formerly known as
member since April 1, 2020
bio
website {{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

required field
usernames don't match
{{err}}

Stats

level 2 (Guesser) on Metaculus: Pandemics
2 (Guesser) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 17 predictions on 11 questions (3 resolved)
comments 3 comments on 3 questions
rank 210th
achievements