composing calibrated forecasts composing intelligent futures generating contingent futures mapping predictive futures computing quantitative estimations mapping the future predicting critical contingencies formulating quantitative contingencies computing contingent understanding assembling predictive forecasts assembling intelligent understanding delivering calibrated futures predicting accurate forecasts formulating calibrated estimations

Profile

username ben.g@ought
formerly known as
member since June 15, 2020
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 1 (Neophyte) on Metaculus: Pandemics
2 (Guesser) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 74 predictions on 31 questions (3 resolved)
comments 24 comments on 19 questions
rank 558th
achievements