crowdsourcing quantitative wisdom delivering precise estimations modeling contingent wisdom modeling predictive insights mapping intelligent predictions mapping the future forecasting critical understanding composing accurate contingencies modeling quantitative estimations formulating quantitative contingencies aggregating accurate understanding exploring intelligent predictions predicting intelligent contingencies aggregating predictive estimations

Profile

username kale
formerly known as
member since August 6, 2017
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus: Pandemics
5 (Augur) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 102 predictions on 33 questions (14 resolved)
comments 4 comments on 3 questions
rank 123rd
achievements