calculating quantitative predictions generating accurate insights generating accurate predictions predicting probable estimations aggregating probable insights mapping the future modeling probable understanding delivering intelligent insights generating definitive estimations forecasting intelligent insights delivering intelligent wisdom calculating probable predictions delivering calibrated estimations modeling calibrated contingencies

Profile

username Jotto
formerly known as
member since May 27, 2018
bio
website {{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

required field
usernames don't match
{{err}}

Stats

level 3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus: Pandemics
12 (Prophet) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 452 predictions on 48 questions (29 resolved)
comments 86 comments on 22 questions
rank 122nd
achievements