composing calibrated forecasts composing intelligent futures generating contingent futures mapping predictive futures computing quantitative estimations mapping the future predicting critical contingencies formulating quantitative contingencies computing contingent understanding assembling predictive forecasts assembling intelligent understanding delivering calibrated futures predicting accurate forecasts formulating calibrated estimations

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username elifland_ought
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member since April 8, 2019
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Stats

level 8 (Forecaster) on Metaculus: Pandemics
10 (Superpredictor) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 983 predictions on 161 questions (72 resolved)
comments 30 comments on 22 questions
rank 21st
achievements