exploring contingent insights formulating accurate forecasts crowdsourcing calibrated estimations composing definitive forecasts assembling probable predictions forecasting accurate contingencies forecasting calibrated estimations modeling accurate insights forecasting intelligent wisdom composing quantitative understanding mapping the future formulating critical understanding predicting definitive futures delivering contingent forecasts aggregating definitive contingencies calculating contingent wisdom mapping definitive predictions formulating accurate wisdom computing accurate forecasts composing calibrated contingencies assembling predictive contingencies aggregating quantitative futures composing contingent predictions formulating critical insights composing quantitative wisdom delivering probable understanding aggregating predictive contingencies aggregating precise wisdom


username alexrjl
formerly known as
member since February 24, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Forecaster Stats

level 11 (Seer) on Metaculus: Pandemics
14 (Time Traveler) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 1046 predictions on 154 questions (122 resolved)
comments 311 comments on 84 questions
rank 13th

Author Stats