Metaculus
Predicting Pandemics
Profile
username
ought
formerly known as
member since
March 2, 2020
bio
website
{{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Metaculus supporter
– {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since
{{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
Change your username
Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons
You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.
Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.
Forecaster Stats
level
4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus: Pandemics
3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus Prime
predictions
479 predictions on 38 questions (34 resolved)
comments
36 comments on 19 questions
rank
131st
achievements
Author Stats
Questions
22 authored questions
Forecasts
912 forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
Popular Questions
- What will be the US unemployment rate for March 2020? (284 forecasts)
- How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of September? (252 forecasts)
- Will the Emergency Telework Act (S.3561) become law by 4/25/20? (248 forecasts)
- What will the Seattle Police Department report as the total number of criminal offenses in March 2020? (232 forecasts)
- How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of September? (216 forecasts)