assembling quantitative futures forecasting accurate understanding mapping quantitative estimations computing precise insights computing calibrated predictions mapping the future predicting predictive futures composing contingent understanding aggregating intelligent understanding modeling quantitative forecasts mapping contingent wisdom mapping intelligent understanding assembling contingent contingencies predicting definitive contingencies

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Stats

level 4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus: Pandemics
3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 479 predictions on 38 questions (32 resolved)
comments 36 comments on 19 questions
rank 70th
authorship 22 active questions
achievements