computing quantitative predictions formulating predictive contingencies calculating precise futures forecasting calibrated insights assembling accurate insights mapping the future formulating critical insights formulating calibrated insights assembling probable contingencies exploring predictive wisdom aggregating contingent estimations assembling quantitative contingencies mapping intelligent insights computing probable insights


username lagarto
formerly known as
member since April 14, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus: Pandemics
4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 170 predictions on 29 questions (15 resolved)
comments 2 comments on 1 questions
rank 93rd