formulating definitive forecasts modeling probable predictions modeling definitive understanding forecasting contingent insights computing precise estimations mapping the future mapping contingent futures exploring quantitative estimations aggregating critical wisdom delivering precise predictions delivering accurate understanding assembling calibrated forecasts delivering definitive wisdom generating critical forecasts


username lagarto
formerly known as
member since April 14, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 3 (Guesstimator) on Metaculus: Pandemics
4 (Fortuneteller) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 156 predictions on 28 questions (13 resolved)
comments 2 comments on 1 questions
rank 94th