Predicting Pandemics

To prevent the spread of COVID-19, many countries have implemented restrictions on travel and movement, including many of the countries that are home to our predictors.

In this question series, we are looking to predict when these restrictions curfews and lockdowns will be eased or removed. So, if you're interested in helping us figure out when our lives will return to business-as-usual, please do participate. We'll be giving out awards for the top three predictors, see here for more information on the contest.

In addition, the results of these predictions will be used by our collaborators at COVID-19 Forecasting Project at the University of Oxford, who will feed these predictions into their publicly available simulations.

Predicted lock-down timelines across various locations

About us

Metaculus is a reputation-based, massive online prediction solicitation and aggregation engine. Our goal is to generate predictions on important, big-picture questions.

Feel free to get in touch with us with any questions or requests regarding our forecasting efforts.