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Date of new Dow Jones all-time high record after COVID-19 crash:

Cross-posted on Metaculus.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA, or the Dow) is a stock market index that indicates the value of 30 large, publicly owned companies based in the United States, and how they have traded in the stock market during various periods of time. The Industrial portion of the name is largely historical, as many of the modern 30 components have little or nothing to do with traditional heavy industry. Along with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ Composite, it is one of the most influential and scrutinized US equity indices.

In late 2019, a novel coronavirus emerged in Hubei Province, China, and quickly spread around the world. By February 28 2020, over 85,000 infections had been confirmed worldwide, along with over 2,900 related deaths.

The global spread of the virus spooked financial markets, and led to one of the most rapid selloffs in the history of public equity markets, with major US equity indices experiencing their worst week since the 2008 global financial crisis.

The Dow closed on February 12 2020 at an all-time high, at 29,551.42 points. By the close of trading on February 28 2020, it had fallen to 25,409.36 points.

This question asks: When will the Dow Jones Industrial Average next close at a level of at least 29,551.42 points, the all-time high closing value previously achieved on February 12 2020?

Resolution should cite credible press reports, or information from a financial trading platform or news service, indicating that the Dow has closed at or above 29,551.42 points.

If the Dow Jones Industrial Average is discontinued or modified such that Metaculus administrators believe it is no longer reasonable to continue with this question, this question shall resolve ambiguously.

Note that this question refers to the closing value of the Dow, not any intraday level reached.


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