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What is the current US contagious-to-mortality ratio?

A key piece of information people may want to assess the local danger of COVID-19 is how many carriers are likely in their community, able to infect others. This is a bit hard to know, because not all contagious people show significant symptoms, not all people with symptoms get tested and (thankfully) not all who get tested die; and when they do, it is some time later. However, it can be estimated from available numbers, which is what this question is calling for.

However, it's a good bet that if someone currently dies of COVID-19 type symptoms, they will get tested and recorded.

We ask:

What is the current ratio of (infectious carriers of COVID-19 in the US) to (fatalities attributed to COVID-19 in the US)?

It is likely that other countries will have similar numbers. Question will resolve August 1 with a credible estimate of this number for the period over which the question is open, as judged by Metaculus admins, and ambiguous in case of more than 25% uncertainty in the number.

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Metaculus help: Predicting

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Metaculus help: Community Stats

Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.

When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.