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When will the current partial lockdown in the State of São Paulo (Brazil) be lifted or reduced in intensity?

This question is hosted in collaboration with the COVID-19 Forecasting Project at the University of Oxford, and the results will be fed into their publicly available simulations.

To prevent the spread of COVID-19, many countries have already implemented restrictions on travel and movement. On the 17th of March, the State of São Paulo implemented a partial lockdown, scheduled to last until the 7th of April, but which might be extended. The lockdown involves, according to a Brazilian newspaper [1]:

  • People are strongly recommended to stay at home, except for very limited purposes. Note that this is not a ban, but a recommendation.
  • All nonessential businesses will close, though restaurants will still be open for takeouts.
  • Gatherings like weddings or shows are banned.

Meanwhile, the Financial Times reports that drug gangs are taking strong measures to enforce the lockdown in Brazil's favelas

When will the current partial lockdown in the State of São Paulo be lifted or reduced in intensity?

This question resolves as the day when the government of the State of São Paulo eases any of the partial lockdown measures or recommendations.

Further details:

  • The lockdown is lifted even if it is only partially lifted. If a lockdown is lifted and then reapplied, such that there is a period of non-lockdown in between, only the first period counts towards this question.
  • A lockdown will be considered valid even if there is no official enforcement mechanism.
  • Resolution is by credible media reports.
  • If Brazil as a whole goes into lockdown, the Brazil lockdown counts as an extension of the São Paulo lockdown, provided it is at least as strict.

  • A regional-only easing of lockdowns count as a partial lifting of the lockdown.

[1]: Source in Portuguese. See here for less detailed takes in English.

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