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Will the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in China as of 2020-04-01, be revised upwards by at least 50% by 2020-12-31?

China has reported significant progress in controlling the COVID-19 outbreak, but many have expressed skepticism about the numbers they report. As of 2020-04-14, the published case count for China, 2020-04-01, is 82,295.

Will the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in China as of 2020-04-01, be revised (from 82,295) upwards by at least 50% (to at least 123,443 cases) by 2020-12-31?

Resolution will be according to the number of confirmed cases as reported by Our World in Data, even if it no longer cites the European CDC. If that source becomes unavailable (site no longer exists or data incomplete), then the moderators may use an article in the NYT.


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