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Will at least 400,000 COVID-19 deaths be reported in any single calendar month in 2020?

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), formerly known as 2019-nCoV acute respiratory disease, is an infectious disease caused by [SARS-CoV-2], a virus closely related to the SARS virus. The disease is the cause of the ongoing ]2019–20 coronavirus pandemic](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019–20_coronav…).

As of 17 April 2020, over 2.1 million cases and over 147,000 deaths have been reported, mostly in the United States.

This question asks: Within any single calendar month in 2020, will at least 400,000 COVID-19 deaths, worldwide, be reported?

This question resolves as the number reported by:

  • The Johns Hopkins CSSE dashboard, or, if that source is no longer available or no longer considered reliable,
  • the WHO situation reports, or another source judged credible by Metaculus administrators.

Related questions:

Categories: Global Epidemiology Cases

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