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What will be the ratio of COVID-19 deaths per capita between Sweden and Finland be for 2021?

Sweden and Finland, two Nordic countries, have pursued rather different COVID-19 response strategies. Finland enacted a lockdown, while Sweden opted for laxer measures as part of a strategy of developing herd immmunity.

There are many unknowns regarding immunity to SARS-CoV-2.

This question asks: What will be the ratio of COVID-19 deaths per capita between Sweden and Finland be for 2021?

The intent here is to get some idea how these two strategies will seem to have worked differently in the near term.

This question will be resolved using World Health Organization reports. As of 2020-05-29, according to Statista Sweden has had 418.93 COVID-19 deaths per million vs. 56.72 deaths per million for Finland.

Some advocates of a faster reopening of the US economy have pointed to Sweden as an example they would like to emulate. Part of the intent of this question is to see what the political and social ramifications of following Sweden's example might be.

The issue of restart speed is becoming an important and partisan issue in the United States. According to this CBS Poll from 2020-04-22 over 70% of Americans favor continuation of the lockdowns. However, most Republicans favor as rapid a restart as possible even if it exposes more people to Coronavirus.

This question has some companion questions. Together they look at the relative effectiveness of these two approaches by one important metric and some political, social and economic consequences of these public health policies.

How will Sweden and Finland's relative Fragile State Index change after COVID-19 by 2025?

How will Sweden and Finland's relative HDI change after COVID-19 by 2025?


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