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How will COVID-19 impact IMPLICIT African-American bias in 6 months (Oct 2020)?

The Behavioral Forecasting Collaborative organized by researchers at the University of Waterloo have been studying attitudes towards African-Americans. To study IMPLICIT African-American bias (i.e. stereotypes that are not directly expressed, rather they are implied), they obtained implicit stereotypes data from Project Implicit. Their research methods are as follows:

For implicit African-American bias, we used the implicit association test (IAT). Scores range from approximately -1 to 1. In this test, positive IAT D scores indicate a relative preference for the White over African-American group. To correct sample non-representativeness, we weighted the estimates based on race, age, and political orientation.

Recently, they have expanded their research to include a new interest in how COVID-19 affects African-American bias. This question asks:

What will the difference in Implicit Associate Task score be for White vs. African-Americans for October 2020?

We will collect predictions until May 22nd as part of a tournament, and this question will resolve mid-November, according to the dataset available on their website.

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