Predicting Pandemics


Welcome to the Metaculus tutorials! These are designed to teach you the Metaculus system and to make you a better predictor.

This tutorial uses the obsolete Metaculus Points. In November 2023, we switched to using Baseline and Peer scores, but this tutorial has not been updated yet.

The following three lessons will still teach you how to use Metaculus, so please complete it! In addition, the new scores keep the core properties of the old points: to maximise your score, you should predict early, and predict your true beliefs.