generating precise wisdom predicting precise predictions modeling precise contingencies exploring precise futures modeling probable futures forecasting definitive futures forecasting probable insights crowdsourcing intelligent forecasts aggregating critical insights delivering contingent forecasts mapping the future assembling precise estimations predicting probable insights aggregating intelligent futures mapping accurate futures exploring quantitative predictions generating precise contingencies calculating precise insights aggregating calibrated estimations calculating predictive insights delivering probable estimations aggregating predictive wisdom predicting contingent futures assembling contingent futures crowdsourcing predictive insights composing quantitative wisdom computing contingent wisdom delivering definitive predictions

Profile

username dan
formerly known as
member since September 2, 2018
bio
website {{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

required field
usernames don't match
{{err}}

Forecaster Stats

level ∞ (Admin)
predictions 288 predictions on 100 questions (75 resolved)
comments 170 comments on 63 questions
rank 55th
achievements

Author Stats

Questions 38 authored questions
Forecasts 1685 forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
Popular Questions